Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.730643 1.877850 2.034113 2.212735 2.411750 2.627218 2.878879
2025-12-21 1.463501 1.657007 1.873889 2.136395 2.447399 2.806437 3.255671
2025-12-28 1.329357 1.552873 1.813693 2.143360 2.552969 3.050536 3.709000
2026-01-04 1.238815 1.483895 1.779376 2.166431 2.666927 3.301943 4.184509
2026-01-11 1.169077 1.430484 1.754559 2.192401 2.778779 3.552259 4.676347
2026-01-18 1.109740 1.383282 1.730791 2.213344 2.880299 3.791837 5.172644
2026-01-25 1.052691 1.333568 1.698126 2.216817 2.954291 3.995264 5.633775
2026-02-01 0.984889 1.264450 1.633809 2.170140 2.951166 4.084492 5.928790
2026-02-08 0.930392 1.209403 1.584204 2.138966 2.965401 4.196844 6.266814
2026-02-15 0.887603 1.167531 1.549591 2.125657 3.003040 4.344969 6.674760
2026-02-22 0.866849 1.154738 1.554413 2.169199 3.128423 4.638318 7.356101
2026-03-01 0.831084 1.118557 1.523250 2.156087 3.163474 4.787932 7.803189
2026-03-08 0.794057 1.079343 1.486386 2.133138 3.183055 4.916915 8.235593
2026-03-15 0.746243 1.022251 1.420235 2.060637 3.116611 4.894184 8.382508
2026-03-22 0.723096 1.000237 1.405203 2.067351 3.181148 5.102801 8.998332
2026-03-29 0.705547 0.985563 1.400250 2.089396 3.272472 5.366248 9.757488
2026-04-05 0.689867 0.972833 1.397379 2.114199 3.369739 5.648724 10.595157
2026-04-12 0.674081 0.959109 1.392054 2.134197 3.459393 5.924576 11.458569
2026-04-19 0.655559 0.940275 1.377570 2.137513 3.518568 6.146371 12.233836
2026-04-26 0.627849 0.905954 1.336667 2.092940 3.485773 6.182137 12.582010
2026-05-03 0.604956 0.878322 1.305337 2.063164 3.478329 6.267859 13.061015
2026-05-10 0.586878 0.857633 1.284413 2.050451 3.502251 6.420092 13.726636
2026-05-17 0.580525 0.855410 1.293740 2.092041 3.634192 6.813120 15.072245